Gmans Super Bowl pick and analysis

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Pats and Panthers Battle in Superbowl XXXVIII
The underdog Panthers looks to buck the odds again as the face New England in Houston.
The Panthers look to avenge an earlier 38-6 loss at the hands of the Patriots.

The Patriots are favored, opening as 7-point chalk, with an opening total of 38. They are 14-1-1 ATS this season and 6-9-1 OU. The Panthers are 6-10 ATS and are 8-7-1 OU.

Last time out, at Giants Stadium against New York, the Panthers as favorites defeated New York 37-24. The game was a Carolina cover and an over play.

The Patriots come off a 31-0 win against Buffalo, a game where they were a 9.5-point favorite. The game went under the closing total of 34.5.


Some trends to consider:
Carolina are 3-18-0 SU in their last 21 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogs
Carolina are 1-5-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring 10 to 20 points
Carolina are 1-5-0 ATS in their last 6 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogs
New England are 13-1-0 ATS in their last 14 games
New England are 4-1-0 SU in their last 5 games after scoring 21 to 30 points
New England are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring 21 to 30 points



I like the patriots -6.5, the pats have been to the super bowl before know how to win have a great defense that will shut down carolina and a good coach and QB that knows how to win big ballgames.The clock has struck midnight on the panthers and cinderella turns back into a pumpkin.

Superbowl XXXVIII

New England Patriots -6.5
 

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